美联储为何降息,下一步是什么?

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美联储为何降息,下一步是什么?

It’shardtobesurprisedwhenyou’’sannouncementonJuly30thatitwouldloweritsbasicinterestrateby25basispoints—%cut—,datafromtheFedfundsfuturesmarkethassuggestedthatforweeks100%“Theriskofastockmarketdropwouldbetoohigh,”saidCraigKirsner,,“youarebeholdentothemarket’sreactionandtheFedcan’tdisappoint.”Similarly,a50-basis-pointcutseemedunlikely.“%,thiseasilycouldfrightenfinancialmarketsaboutwhattheFedknowsbutisn’tsaying,”saidStevenSkancke,“Notthataquarter-pointreductionintheFedFundsratemakesamaterialdifferencetoborrowers,butitseemstohavesymbolicimportancethattheFeddoingsomething,lestitbeblamedforinactioniftheeconomyslowsfurther.”However,%cut“asameasureofsafetyandinsurance,”,saidRobertJohnson,chairmanandCEOofEconomicIndexAssociatesandlong-timeFedwatcher.“Weareoperatinginaglobalenvironment,”hesaid.“Whenyouseeinterestratesgloballythatareaslowastheyare,wehavetotakethatintoaccount.”Somecentralbankshaveattimesoverthelastfewyearsevensetnegativeinterestrates,,atleastforawhile“Theworldhasbeeninaslightlyoddplaceforthepastfewyears,”saidDavidJohnson,foundingdirectorofforeignexchangespecialistHaloFinancial.“;historicallythecentralbankthatofferedthecheapestlendingratesforinternationalinvestors,hasactuallybeenofferinghigheryieldsthanEurope,Australia,Asia,,whenglobaltensionsbetweentheUSandChina,intheMiddleEastandovertheUK’sEUmembershiphaveraisedtheirheads,themovementoffundsintoUSassetswasaneveneasierdecision.”“Ithinktherearealotofunknownsoutthere,”Johnsonsaid.“Wedontknowtheoutcomeofthesetradetalks”’,,theFedtooktheonlypathavailable::Ifthereisamajorfinancialcontraction,theFedmaynolongerhaveenoughworkingroomtoprovidearatecutlargeenoughtostimulatetheeconomybackintoworkingorder.。